Seattle Mariners vs Ny Mets Mets Picks and Predictions August 9th 2024

mets mariners prediction

They have hit 154 doubles, while walking 387 times and notching 455 runs. Seattle has knocked in 133 home runs so far this season and 432 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,183 occasions (1st in baseball) and have earned a total of 824 base hits.

  • We predict the Mariners, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Sunday.
  • Severino should prove to be a tough matchup for the Mariners, considering they rank 25th in OPS to ground-ball pitchers as opposed to 12th in the reverse split.
  • The Mariners (60-56) narrowly avoided getting swept by Detroit, as Mitch Haniger’s three-run double keyed a ninth-inning comeback in Thursday’s 4-3 win.
  • According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at T-Mobile Park on Sunday.
  • Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday’s MLB matchup between the Mets and Mariners 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
  • ESPN will be televising Sunday’s matchup, and Luis Severino is starting for the Mets.

Mets vs Mariners prediction, odds, pick – 8/11/2024

They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .217 and have the most strikeouts in the league. However, they are 6th in walks and have the 10th most home runs in the league.

New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: Key Prediction for August 11

That Mets lineup has done nothing in the first two games in Seattle. Oddsmakers still favor Houston to win the division (-150), though the Mariners continue to make things interesting. Check out the odds, run line and over/under for this matchup listed at individual sportsbooks. This website is using a security service to protect itself from online attacks.

New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction 8/10/24 MLB Pick Today

The first two games in this series have gone the way of the Mariners. Seattle is up 10-0 in the aggregate with a win by six on Friday and a win by four on Saturday. New York scored nine runs on Thursday in Colorado, but none in the ninth, so their scoreless streak is 19 innings heading into this evening. Interleague action is in the primetime spotlight on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball as the Mets battle the Mariners.

Head To Head (Since 2007 Season)

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries. After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 48%, while the Mariners have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page. These teams have met 9 times in the last 3 seasons (with 2024 counting as one of those three). The Mariners snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 4-3 W over the Detroit Tigers Thursday. 1B Luke Raley had 2 hits, including his 14th homer of the season.

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This contest’s pitching matchup is set, as the Mariners will send Luis Castillo (9-11) to the mound, while Luis Severino (7-5) will take the ball for the Mets. According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at T-Mobile Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page. Dimers.com’s predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team’s chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight Tuesdays and Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Mets vs Mariners Prediction, Betting Analysis: Both Teams in a Bad Spot

He has a K/BB ratio of 3.25 and he has gone up against 4,943 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Sevy’s last start came in Colorado, where he allowed five runs on eight hits. He allowed six runs to the Twins over just three innings in his previous start, so I guess I have concerns about him hitting a wall given the heightened workload. He hasn’t had a game with a double-digit swinging strike rate since May, so it’s all based on batted ball luck for him.

Mets vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line and Total

  • He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.
  • The Seattle Mariners should get the benefit of the doubt at home with Logan Gilbert on the mound.
  • With over 120 innings pitched, his WHIP is still at 1.18; a reason why he is capable of limiting base runners and running games effectively.
  • The Mariners, who are 2nd in the AL West, will be sending Bryce Miller to the mound.
  • The Braves were in the WC1 spot for many weeks, with the chasing pack near .500 and unable to break free.
  • The Mariners carried the momentum from that win into Friday’s game against the Mets.
  • The New York Mets briefly rose above the Atlanta Braves in the National League standings after the All-Star break.
  • Only one of the two will be able to get in, and that’s not even including the red-shot San Francisco Giants, who have won 12 of 15 to breathe down the Mets’ and Braves’ backs.

The offense is clicking, Randy Arozarena has stepped up well in the outfield, and the team will only get stronger when Julio Rodriguez returns in a few weeks. Tonight, I believe Luis Castillo will shut down the Mets and lead the Mariners to complete the sweep. The New York Mets have been the better team over the last week or so, but they’ve also been shutout in back to back games, and that’s not all that encouraging.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview: Tough Matchup for Seattle’s Offense

Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 6-8 with a 3.05 ERA and 143 strikeouts this season. Gilbert has a 2.78 ERA and .190 allowed batting average in 71.1 home innings. Sean Manaea gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 8-4 with a 3.30 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. Manaea has a 2.80 ERA and .214 allowed batting average in 61 road innings. Manaea is 8-7 with a 3.73 ERA and 84 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

  • The right-hander has had to work at two hitter-friendly parks in Minnesota and Colorado, however, with three home runs doing him in around the 14 hits he’s yielded.
  • This specific trend shows their capability to handle interleague play effectively.
  • In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
  • The Mets have yet to score a run heading into game three of this series, and things don’t get any easier with Luis Castillo on the mound for the Mariners.
  • Manaea went seven shutout innings and struck out 10 in Monday’s 6-0 win over St. Louis.
  • The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 and are a half-game up on the Atlanta Braves for the final Wild Card.
  • The New York Mets were one of the hottest offensive teams before August.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

As a new week begins, Sunday Night Baseball takes center stage on the West Coast, where the Seattle Mariners will host the New York Mets in a nationally televised game. Both teams are locked in tight divisional races, making each win crucial as the playoffs draw closer. The Mariners are currently tied with the Astros for the lead in the AL West, with a 6.5-game cushion over the third-place Rangers. However, with the AL West likely sending only one team to the playoffs, winning the division is essential for Seattle.

Calling Our Shot: Best Bets

Stay well-informed with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division. Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below. Before making any Mariners vs. Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full mets mariners prediction purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified. The Mariners’ George Kirby, a Rye, N.Y., native, will make his second career start because his first one was surprisingly effective.

Mariners vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

The 31-year-old Dominican has a sparkling 2.95 ERA at home (compared to 4.14 on the road) while Severino has a road ERA of 4.65 (compared to 3.54 at home). AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Mariners insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call GAMBLER.

Quintana has a solid track record against Seattle, posting a 3.19 ERA in 12 career appearances, including nine starts. The Mariners will counter with right-hander Bryce Miller, who boasts an 8-7 record with a 3.62 ERA. This will be Miller’s first time facing the Mets, and both pitchers will be looking to give their respective teams an edge as the series gets underway. The Mariners are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.090 and have a FIP of 3.63 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (991 strikeouts vs 269 free passes).

Despite an uptick in ground balls this year, we’ve seen more expected damage on contact against the right-hander and those ground ball numbers have only climbed as the year has gone on. The song remains the same for the Mariners, who continue to punish the ball directly into the air despite playing at a home park where that’s a very bad idea. The Mariners are -130 favorites at home against the Mets in Sunday Night Baseball, with New York +110 to pick up the road win. The run line Mariners -1.5, with Seattle +145 to cover and the Mets -185.

  • They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage.
  • The Mets have been struggling in their recent outings, particularly against teams from the American League.
  • Mets’ starting pitcher, Sean Manaea has a good record coming into this game and an admirable 3.3 ERA.
  • Overall, they are 5th in home runs and are batting a collective .250.
  • Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
  • Speaking of slumps, Severino has begun to regress over his past two starts in allowing 10 earned runs across eight frames.
  • He hasn’t had a game with a double-digit swinging strike rate since May, so it’s all based on batted ball luck for him.

For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more. I’ll bet on the Mets to pull off a short moneyline upset in this one. Let’s break down the odds, probable pitchers and my best bet for Saturday’s action.

Here’s everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks. For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news. He’s been lights out over his last two games, and the Mets are dominant in his starts this season, going 15-7 straight up. Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks. The Mets have failed to hit the Over in 9 of their last 10 games and been shutout in 2 straight.

Looking at his overall numbers, Miller has a WHIP of 1.05 and opponents are batting .215 this season. In his 22 starts, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.03 strikeouts per nine innings. Miller’s last outing came on August 3rd vs. the Phillies, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Severino’s road stats are concerning, and he hasn’t been pitching well lately. He’s lost his last two starts, giving up 10 earned runs on 14 hits over just 8 innings, including 3 home runs. He’s also lost 2 of his last 3 road games, and I’m skeptical that the Mets will provide enough run support in this one.

The Mets have lost back-to-back games after falling 4-0 to the Mariners Saturday as +117 road underdogs. SS Francisco Lindor had 2 of New York’s 4 hits, but the team was unable to stimulate any offense. Cal Raleigh comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, and over his last five games, he has gone 4/17 with one home run and four RBIs. For the season, Raleigh is batting just .214, but his 71 RBIs are the best mark in the league. Luke Raley has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 3/9 with two homers in his last three games. ScoresAndStats (SAS) is dedicated to providing valuable insights and predictions for beginner and expert sports handicappers.

The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Mets, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster four of their seven hits and left two runners on base. Pete Alonso isn’t one to back down from a challenge, and his sights are determined to reach the 40-homer achievement this season — a feat that looks good for the New York Mets‘ playoff aspirations. Cal Raleigh has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 24 homers are 10th in the league.

In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The New York Mets are currently batting .250 as a team, having scored 560 runs this season, which places them in a decent offensive position. However, their batting average drops slightly against the pitching quality they’ll face in this series. The Seattle Mariners are still tied with the Houston Astros atop the American League West.

Here’s everything you need to know before checking out today’s MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook. Matthew Zemek is part of ClutchPoints’ Betting team and has written for various sports websites and publications since 2001. He was the editor of the NBA site Crossover Chronicles in the 2016 NBA season and was a contributing editor for FanRag Sports in 2017.

They have earned a total of 560 runs scored while having a team OBP of .322. Luis Severino gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 7-5 with a 4.06 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 14 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 8 innings.

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Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. The Mets’ victory in Colorado moved them half a game ahead of the Atlanta Braves for the National League’s third and final wild-card spot. As the team prepares to leave the mile-high conditions of Denver and return to sea level in Seattle, they are determined to maintain their momentum in the playoff race. Mets manager Carlos Mendoza recognizes the importance of Alonso’s contributions, particularly during this critical stretch of the season. In spite of this great display, Alonso is presently on pace for 35 homers this season, which would be the most reduced full-season total of his career.

In their 9,252 innings on the diamond, the Mariners are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.8% (1st in MLB). The Mets have been listed as +115 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Mariners (-135). What can we expect to see out of both offenses with two effective starters on the bump? Let’s get right into our Mets vs. Mariners prediction for “Sunday Night Baseball” tonight.

They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. However, the Mariners do have the 10th most home runs in the league and have been good at drawing walks this season. Severino has been a godsend for the Mets in a year where Kodai Senga has only made one start and the rotation has been in a state of flux.

mets mariners prediction

Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Friday, as they are looking to extend their two-game winning streak. The Mariners, who are 2nd in the AL West, will be sending Bryce Miller to the mound. Seattle will get a lineup boost with the return of former AL Rookie of the Year Julio Rodriguez from a long IL stint. It’s the end of a 10-game, four-city road trip for New York and Luis Severino has struggled badly in his past two.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.9 runs per game (9th). They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250 and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league.

The Seattle Mariners are at home today against the New York Mets. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their season average of 8 runs per game. The Mariners have gone under in 13 of 22 games when the line is set at 7.5 runs this season.

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